In the 26th week of 2025 (June 23-29), the ex-farm price of tilapia in Guangdong, China continued to decline, while tilapia markets in Hainan and Guangxi remained stable. Industry insiders analyzed that the combination of high-temperature weather and the seasonal peak has led Guangdong farmers to accelerate tilapia fish harvesting, and tilapia processors have taken the opportunity to lower purchase prices. The tilapia market still faces downward pressure in the short term.

In Zhanjiang and Maoming, the main tilapia producing areas in Guangdong, the purchase price of 500-800g raw material tilapia fish by processing plants dropped to 8.1 yuan/kg (approximately $1.13/kg), a decrease of 0.2 yuan/kg from the previous week. In contrast, the ex-factory tilapia prices of the same size raw material fish in Hainan and Guangxi stabilized at 8.2 yuan/kg and 8.6 yuan/kg respectively.

A Guangdong processor stated that the local tilapia supply has significantly increased recently, so the enterprise has lowered the purchase price and expects the volume to further rise in the coming weeks. In the Hainan market, tilapia prices remained stable due to continuous procurement by tilapia processing plants to meet US tilapia order demands. A Hainan industry insider said: "The current tilapia fish price in Hainan is stable, tilapia processing plants maintain a normal production rhythm, and tilapia farmers are also harvesting tilapia fish as planned."

In addition to seasonal factors, the recent tilapia price decline of Guangdong tilapia is also related to the high-temperature weather in southern China. A general Manager of one China tilapia plant, pointed out that high-temperature weather has prompted tilapia farmers to accelerate fish harvesting to avoid breeding risks caused by high temperatures. "Fish stocked from late last year to early this year have now reached the proper size, and the recent tilapia supply has naturally increased. Tilapia Processing plants have also taken the opportunity to lower prices."

At the same time, the slowdown in demand from the US market has also suppressed domestic tilapia prices. In the 25th week (June 16-22), the prices of frozen and fresh tilapia fillets in the US both fell slightly, mainly affected by inventory replenishment and weakened seasonal demand. The wholesale prices of large size tilapia were under pressure, while small size products were relatively stable. Although the US announced tariff exemptions for some Chinese goods in May, Chinese tilapia still faces a cumulative tariff of 55%, making purchasers cautious.

Hainan sources added that current US tilapia order prices remain low, and buyers have built up a certain inventory, so there is insufficient momentum for raw material tilapia fish prices to rise in the short term. Overall, under the dual influence of increased supply and weak demand, Guangdong tilapia prices may continue to operate at a low level, while tilapia markets in Hainan and Guangxi remain stable due to order support.